Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020750 0.022431 0.024184 0.026148 0.028290 0.030557 0.033137
2025-09-21 0.017716 0.020107 0.022736 0.025844 0.029429 0.033439 0.038279
2025-09-28 0.015942 0.018758 0.021977 0.025942 0.030710 0.036280 0.043306
2025-10-05 0.014533 0.017601 0.021222 0.025831 0.031568 0.038509 0.047596
2025-10-12 0.013520 0.016784 0.020744 0.025929 0.032580 0.040877 0.052100
2025-10-19 0.012678 0.016087 0.020323 0.026011 0.033504 0.043116 0.056504
2025-10-26 0.011888 0.015382 0.019819 0.025914 0.034139 0.044959 0.060440
2025-11-02 0.011244 0.014814 0.019437 0.025922 0.034874 0.046930 0.064618
2025-11-09 0.010527 0.014096 0.018803 0.025531 0.035012 0.048057 0.067645
2025-11-16 0.009853 0.013392 0.018138 0.025044 0.034962 0.048885 0.070252
2025-11-23 0.009358 0.012904 0.017735 0.024887 0.035350 0.050327 0.073805
2025-11-30 0.008909 0.012453 0.017356 0.024731 0.035713 0.051730 0.077352
2025-12-07 0.008476 0.012017 0.016995 0.024612 0.036167 0.053354 0.081453
2025-12-14 0.008018 0.011524 0.016529 0.024314 0.036337 0.054568 0.085006
2025-12-21 0.007708 0.011229 0.016333 0.024402 0.037093 0.056708 0.090162
2025-12-28 0.007370 0.010874 0.016026 0.024298 0.037530 0.058357 0.094603
2026-01-04 0.007109 0.010621 0.015855 0.024390 0.038273 0.060522 0.100028
2026-01-11 0.006863 0.010376 0.015685 0.024467 0.038985 0.062663 0.105538
2026-01-18 0.006595 0.010083 0.015421 0.024376 0.039408 0.064336 0.110325
2026-01-25 0.006367 0.009842 0.015227 0.024383 0.039989 0.066297 0.115735
2026-02-01 0.006072 0.009480 0.014822 0.024018 0.039910 0.067107 0.119097
2026-02-08 0.005776 0.009105 0.014377 0.023562 0.039646 0.067571 0.121830
2026-02-15 0.005562 0.008853 0.014123 0.023416 0.039909 0.068974 0.126408